Rory McIlroy will not have Sunday at Augusta National to himself.
Instead, the five-time major champion enters the final round of the 2026 Masters tied for the lead with Cameron Young at 11-under par — setting up a crowded, volatile leaderboard with 18 holes to decide it.
And that’s exactly where things get unpredictable.
Because while McIlroy remains the betting favorite, the margin for error at Augusta is razor thin — and the number of players still in contention makes this far from a two-man race.
Masters 2026 Odds Entering Final Round
GettyCameron Young and Rory McIlroy shake hands on the 18th green during the first round of the 2026 Masters Tournament at Augusta National Golf Club on April 9, 2026 in Augusta, Georgia.
Here’s a look at the latest odds heading into Sunday:
- Rory McIlroy: +150
- Cameron Young: +240
- Sam Burns: +650
- Scottie Scheffler: +1000
- Justin Rose: +1300
- Shane Lowry: +1300
- Jason Day: +2500
- Patrick Reed: +6500
- Haotong Li: +8000
McIlroy sits at the top of the board for a reason. He’s been steady through three rounds and has the experience to close out a major.
But being tied for the lead — rather than holding it outright — changes the equation.
Why Sunday at Augusta Is Different
The final round of the Masters rarely follows a script.
Even the game’s best players have struggled to convert 54-hole leads at Augusta National, where the pressure builds with every hole — especially on the back nine.
With Cameron Young alongside McIlroy at the top and a cluster of proven contenders just behind, Sunday becomes less about holding a position and more about surviving it.
Sam Burns (-10) sits just one shot back, while Shane Lowry (-9) and Jason Day (-8) remain firmly within striking distance. Justin Rose (-8), a perennial contender at Augusta, also looms as a serious threat heading into the final round.
And then there’s Scottie Scheffler (-7), who has the ability to produce a low round and quickly erase the gap.
In other words: this leaderboard is far from settled.
Best Bet to Win the Masters
If you’re looking beyond the favorite, Justin Rose stands out as the strongest value play entering Sunday.
The Englishman begins the final round at 8-under par, just three shots off the lead — a manageable deficit at Augusta, especially given his track record at this event.
More importantly, Rose has done exactly what Sunday demands: he’s avoided mistakes.
Through three rounds, he’s played controlled, disciplined golf — the kind that tends to hold up under pressure when others begin to chase.
At +1400, he offers a significantly stronger risk-reward profile than the players ahead of him, without requiring a perfect round to contend.
Other Contenders to Watch
Cameron Young’s surge into a share of the lead makes him an immediate threat, particularly if he carries momentum into Sunday.
Sam Burns has been one of the most consistent players in the field and is well-positioned just one shot back.
Lowry and Day bring experience and scoring ability, while Scheffler remains dangerous regardless of position.
With so many players within reach, Sunday at Augusta is set up for movement — and potentially, a late charge from just off the lead.
Final Take
McIlroy deserves his position as the betting favorite.
But tied at the top — rather than alone — changes everything.
At Augusta National, leads can disappear quickly, and with this many proven players still in contention, the final round is unlikely to be straightforward.
For bettors and fans alike, the smartest play may not be the player at the very top — but the one best equipped to handle what Sunday at the Masters demands.
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