Six games into the second half of their season, we know a lot about the 2024 Rockies.
For example, their bullpen has been historically bad, their rotation shows hints of promise, their lineup is bereft of power, they strike out too much and don’t walk often enough, they have three Gold Glove candidates, and they play terribly on the road.
And, oh yes, Kris Bryant has played in only 24 of 87 games because of injuries.
But what will the rest of the season bring? Here are 10 questions and my answers:
1. Will the Rockies lose 100 games for the second season in a row?
Before the season, I predicted they would go 65-97. Entering the weekend series with the Royals, they’re on pace to finish 56-106. Considering their bullpen woes, I do think they’ll lose 100 again.
2. Who will make the National League All-Star team when the reserves are announced on Sunday?
A case can be made for third baseman Ryan McMahon, shortstop Ezequiel Tovar and center fielder Brenton Doyle. All three are Gold Glove worthy. But given the Rockies’ record, there will be only one Rockie in the Midsummer Classic and it will be McMahon.
3. What happens when Bryant returns from the injured list?
Owner Dick Monfort is paying him $28 million this season, so he’ll get plenty of chances to prove himself. But if Bryant continues to be a ghost of his former self, the Rockies need to play their young outfielders as often as possible, especially when Jordan Beck returns from his broken hand. Also, Michael Toglia should remain the primary first baseman. That means more time on the bench for Bryant, who would share designated hitter duties with Charlie Blackmon.
4. When veteran right-hander German Marquez returns to the rotation in the next couple of weeks after his rehab from Tommy John surgery, who’s the odd man out?
It’s becoming clear that it will be right-hander Dakota Hudson, who is 2-12 with a 5.84 ERA. Hudson is 0-6 with an 8.26 ERA at Coors Field in nine starts.
5. Will the Rockies make any trades before the July 30 deadline?
Yes, they will and the most likely candidate remains catcher Elias Diaz. The problem is Diaz, although back in the lineup, is still slowed by a left calf strain. That may put backup Jacob Stallings on the block instead.
Veteran outfielder Jake Cave has become a fan favorite with his energetic play. Still, the hero of Colorado’s win over the Brewers on Thursday night could bring in an arm or two in return, so Colorado has to listen.
I would not be shocked to see lefty reliever Jalen Beeks moved. I would be mildly surprised to see second baseman Brendan Rodgers traded, but he’s playing extremely well right now and his value is rising. I think the Rockies would listen to a legitimate offer.
If teams call about lefty starter Austin Gomber or right-hander Cal Quantrill, I think the Rockies will pick up the phone, but it will take a lot in return to trade either of them.
6. Will the Rockies try to extend Quantrill’s contract?
The Rockies love his competitiveness, especially at Coors Field. Plus, Quantrill is extremely popular with his teammates and loves Colorado. But I believe his top priority is playing for a winning team. He’s signed up with the Rockies through next season, but will the team show enough progress by then to entice him to stay if he’s offered a solid contract?
7. Which prospects will the Rockies call up in the second half?
This is always a tough prediction but my list would include lefty Carson Palmquist, right-hander Jaden Hill, catcher Drew Romo, outfielders Zac Veen and Yanquiel Fernandez, and second baseman Adael Amador, who made his major league debut last month. The youth movement could create a significant wave.
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8. Will the Rockies suffer a major drop in attendance by the end of the season as they endure their sixth losing season in a row?
There will be a bit of a dip, but the fans keep showing up at Coors Field. The Rockies average 29,903 fans per home game, not counting two games in Mexico City when they were the “home team” vs. Houston. Last year, Colorado averaged 32,196 fans per game, ranking 14th in the majors.
9. By the end of the season, who’ll be the team’s MVP?
I’m going with Doyle, by a whisker over Tovar. Doyle keeps getting better and better as a power hitter and his speed on the bases is invaluable.
10. Will manager Bud Black return as manager next season?
I think so, and I believe he wants to. Still, the contract extension that was discussed during spring training has not materialized. Black, who just turned 67, is a baseball lifer and the ultimate people person. He’d miss the game should he retire, but all of the losing is wearing him down. I imagine Black, general manager Bill Schmidt and Monfort will have a serious sit-down in the coming months.
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