There are just 8 countries with a legit shot to win the World Cup


Brazil is once again the pre-tournament favorite to win the World Cup.
Only eight countries have at least a 5% chance to win the most celebrated sporting event in the World, and only three have better than an 8% shot.

Brazil is once again the pre-tournament favorite to win the World Cup, but the gap between them and the field is not as wide as it was in 2014.

Brazil has a 19% chance to win the World Cup in Russia, according to Nate Silver’s model at FiveThirtyEight. They gave Brazil a 36% chance to be champions on their home turf in the last World Cup.

In all, there are eight countries with at least a 5% chance of winning the World Cup.

Here are the chances of winning the World Cup on the eve of the tournament:

Brazil, 19%
Spain, 17%
Germany, 13%
France, 8%
England, 7%
Belgium, 7%
Argentina, 7%
Portugal, 6%

No other country has more than a 3% chance of winning the tournament and 14 of the 32 teams have less than a 1% chance of winning. The 24 countries not listed above have a combined shot of 16%. Host country Russia is listed at 1%.

More World Cup 2018 coverage:
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The new World Cup uniforms for every country
World Cup 2018: Everything you need to know about all 32 teams competing for the biggest prize in football
The one player you need to know from every country competing in the 2018 FIFA World Cup

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Source:: Business Insider


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